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Prediction Tracking

Every time MarketMood's automated pipeline publishes a directional (Bullish/Bearish) article, we snapshot the instrument, direction, and confidence score at that exact moment. A background job later checks the real live price for that instrument (the same feed powering the ticker and mood slider) and records an honest outcome: Correct, Incorrect, or Inconclusive (a genuinely flat move that neither confirms nor refutes the call). Predictions are checked roughly 24 hours after publish — anything not yet due shows as Pending, never forced into an outcome early.

What this page does NOT claim

  • No cherry-picked "best trades" — every tracked directional article appears here, wins and losses alike.
  • No invented accuracy percentage before real resolved data exists — a window with zero resolved predictions shows "N/A — insufficient data" rather than a fabricated number.
  • "Inconclusive" results (price moved less than our significance threshold) are shown separately, not folded into either Correct or Incorrect to inflate or deflate the record.

Accuracy Record

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Per-Instrument (90-day)

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Recent Predictions

PublishedInstrumentArticleDirectionConfidenceResolve AfterOutcome
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Methodology: see Methodology — Prediction Tracking for exactly how confidence scores are computed and how outcomes are determined from real price data.